Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 16.321139 18.447509 20.690512 23.227360 26.011178 28.967362 32.338239
2025-02-02 14.454079 17.614002 21.146372 25.365300 30.243532 35.682954 42.181898
2025-02-09 12.561661 16.401144 20.924278 26.592705 33.449222 41.415859 51.308981
2025-02-16 10.606580 14.797995 19.987574 26.787993 35.357802 45.687461 58.956617
2025-02-23 8.815005 13.121461 18.715420 26.361215 36.369038 48.841966 65.357983
2025-03-02 7.442886 11.786476 17.689814 26.079208 37.445681 52.041852 71.893990
2025-03-09 6.458701 10.838471 17.045463 26.184434 38.954230 55.790434 79.229733
2025-03-16 5.539564 9.850046 16.216418 25.917657 39.878364 58.748007 85.596320
2025-03-23 5.143770 9.599904 16.410090 27.082067 42.807653 64.486807 95.865684
2025-03-30 4.592834 9.023723 16.042758 27.365479 44.459180 68.500831 103.903582
2025-04-06 3.886155 8.087660 15.013116 26.543663 44.411282 70.083135 108.580349
2025-04-13 3.261660 7.201536 13.962965 25.581539 44.054647 71.154276 112.513481
2025-04-20 3.067577 7.088652 14.204658 26.725994 47.018350 77.245797 123.974871
2025-04-27 3.067609 7.345920 15.099678 28.993821 51.840593 86.268893 140.008219
2025-05-04 2.910093 7.271388 15.401445 30.283779 55.172120 93.180822 153.169941
2025-05-11 2.610781 6.864732 15.064450 30.454435 56.701709 97.407670 162.475622
2025-05-18 2.263580 6.301120 14.376905 29.953512 57.087673 99.868420 169.183573
2025-05-25 1.981071 5.832333 13.816825 29.624593 57.718945 102.704143 176.515678
2025-06-01 1.779151 5.514662 13.515748 29.731710 59.069322 106.690405 185.695079
2025-06-08 1.561931 5.121618 13.019226 29.430254 59.684523 109.500987 193.105626
2025-06-15 1.506052 5.127188 13.349867 30.717240 63.126893 116.985865 208.044398
2025-06-22 1.374117 4.911130 13.185801 31.029054 64.842599 121.687654 218.685539
2025-06-29 1.166618 4.448232 12.432038 30.117481 64.300987 122.622152 223.311938